A very unusual precipitation event associated with the 2015 floods in Jakarta: an analysis of the meteorological factors

“The 2-days precipitation event over Jakarta in February 2015 was very unusual, the highest in the 135-year long historical records with a return period more than 60 years in the current climate. An intensified monsoon with an unusual northerly winds leading to this event is described. The 2015 event has become about 2.2 times more likely due to the trend towards more extreme precipitation.”