Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
5130407 | Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A | 2016 | 15 Pages |
â¢I present a social epistemological study of “the self-corrective thesis” (SCT).â¢Using computer simulations, I show that SCT is true only in a scientific utopia.â¢Social aspects drastically affect the estimation of effect sizes in experiments.â¢Critiques to classical statistics apply in some social structures but not others.â¢Methodological explanations of the replicability crisis in psychology are limited.
Advocates of the self-corrective thesis argue that scientific method will refute false theories and find closer approximations to the truth in the long run. I discuss a contemporary interpretation of this thesis in terms of frequentist statistics in the context of the behavioral sciences. First, I identify experimental replications and systematic aggregation of evidence (meta-analysis) as the self-corrective mechanism. Then, I present a computer simulation study of scientific communities that implement this mechanism to argue that frequentist statistics may converge upon a correct estimate or not depending on the social structure of the community that uses it. Based on this study, I argue that methodological explanations of the “replicability crisis” in psychology are limited and propose an alternative explanation in terms of biases. Finally, I conclude suggesting that scientific self-correction should be understood as an interaction effect between inference methods and social structures.