Assessment of Regional Energy System Failure Risks by Use of Wavelet Transform

The number of failures within production and delivery stages results in a decreased amount of energy delivered to the consumer. As losses occur, the amount of raw materials used by energy system remains unchanged or increase as a results of other production units' involvement, but the amount of energy received by the consumer decreases. In this paper we propose wavelet transform as a tool to predict the level of energy system malfunctioning risk, and thus switch to the other source of energy production/delivery to ensure increase in system's energy efficiency.