| Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 572446 | Accident Analysis & Prevention | 2013 | 10 Pages |
Abstract
⺠Time series analyses of road safety and risk can be improved by using demographic data. ⺠Distance travelled per person is often more smooth over time than total distance travelled for drivers of that age. ⺠This smoothness can be used to obtain forecasts of distance travelled and thus of road safety risk. ⺠This smoothness can be used to average out year-to-year fluctuations of data of distance travelled and risk. ⺠Fatalities forecasts with models including population data, with or without data of distance travelled, are alike.
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Authors
Henk Stipdonk, Frits Bijleveld, Yvette van Norden, Jacques Commandeur,