Potential health benefits of controlling dust emissions in Beijing

•The annual average dust concentrations in Beijing were approximately ∼14 μg m−3.•Nearly 4000 premature deaths may be associated with long-term dust exposure.•Approximately 20% of premature deaths caused by dust exposure are attributed to lung cancer.•Population growth and lung cancer mortality rates drive the increasing tendency of premature death.•This study offers “low-hanging fruit” suggestions for pollution control that would benefit the public health.

Although the adverse impact of fine particulate matter (i.e., PM2.5) on human health has been well acknowledged, little is known of the health effects of its specific constituents. Over the past decade, the annual average dust concentrations in Beijing were approximately ∼14 μg m−3, a value that poses a great threat to the city's 20 million residents. In this study, we quantify the potential long-term health damages in Beijing resulting from the dust exposure that occurred from 2000 to 2011. Each year in Beijing, nearly 4000 (95% CI: 1000-7000) premature deaths may be associated with long-term dust exposure, and ∼20% of these deaths are attributed to lung cancer. A decomposition analysis of the inter-annual variability of premature deaths in Beijing indicates that dust concentrations determine the year-to-year tendency, whereas population growth and lung cancer mortality rates drive the increasing tendency of premature death. We suggest that if Beijing takes effective measures towards reducing dust concentrations (e.g., controlling the resuspension of road dust and the fugitive dust from construction sites) to a level comparable to that of New York City's, the associated premature deaths will be significantly reduced. This recommendation offers “low-hanging fruit” suggestions for pollution control that would greatly benefit the public health in Beijing.