Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
6340360 | Atmospheric Environment | 2014 | 11 Pages |
Abstract
This work examines the emission sensitivities due to uncertainties in retirement rate, timing of emission standards, transition rate of high-emitting vehicles called “superemitters”, and emission factor degradation rate. It is concluded that global emissions are most sensitive to parameters in the retirement rate function. Monte Carlo simulations show that emission uncertainty caused by lack of knowledge about technology composition is comparable to the uncertainty demonstrated by alternative economic scenarios, especially during the period 2010-2030.
Keywords
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering
Earth and Planetary Sciences
Atmospheric Science
Authors
Fang Yan, Ekbordin Winijkul, Tami C. Bond, David G. Streets,