Simultaneous identification of dynamic model and occupant-induced disturbance for commercial buildings

A model of a building's thermal dynamics is needed for prediction-based control. The task of identifying a thermal dynamic model is made challenging by the presence of large unmeasured disturbances, especially the heat gain due to the occupants. In fact, identification of this “occupant-induced load” is also valuable for predictive control-especially in commercial buildings. We propose a method to identify both a model (of resistance-capacitance network type) and the unmeasured disturbances from measured input-output data. The method is based on the insight that the main contributor to the unmeasured disturbance, the occupant-induced load, is piecewise constant, especially in commercial buildings. This can be used to construct an augmented dynamic model so that disturbance estimation is converted to a state estimation problem. An outer-loop optimization identifies the best-fit parameter values. The effectiveness of the method is evaluated using data from a simulation model (under both open and closed-loop operations) and a real building.