Method for the proposal and evaluation of urban structures for compact cities using an expert system

The world population is continually increasing, but the Japanese population is decreasing. By 2050, the Japanese population is calculated to be close to 100 million people, and by 2060, 40% of the Japanese are estimated to be aged 65 years or more. Data show an increase in the declining birth and aging rates of the population. The development of high-concentration urban structures will be needed to solve such problems. However, a detailed vision of the future is yet to be clarified and in the process of consideration. In this study, we developed an instrument called “Population Migration Tool,” which is based on plural planning and policy, after we formed a future population distribution model. In addition, We also established a high-concentration urban structure model with this tool with the aim of considering the kind of urban structure local cities should target in the future.