A Site-specific ground-motion simulation model: Application for Vrancea earthquakes

The current paper introduces a novel stochastic ground-motion model that allows simulation of realistic non-stationary, non-Gaussian time histories that are statistically consistent with data even at sites with very low numbers of records. This goal is achieved by combining the prior knowledge from a seismological model, calibrated to global data, with the site-specific data within a Bayesian framework. The proposed model uses the specific barrier model as the seismological model and numerical results consistent with records from a nuclear powerplant site in Romania are presented.