Study on the future weather data considering the global and local climate change for building energy simulation

We constructed a prototype of the future (i.e., 2031-2035) standard weather data based on version 4 of the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate (MIROC) and the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The results confirm that the weather data generated via the dynamical downscaling method can predict local climate. Subsequently, we simulated building thermal load consumption using regional climate data. By comparing the results for the present (2007) and future (2034), we estimated the impact of climate change on the energy performance of a detached house. In particular, the sensible heat load for the house was predicted to increase by 15% under the conditions considered.