Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
696327 Automatica 2012 11 Pages PDF
Abstract

In this paper, we introduce stochasticity into a multigroup SIR (susceptible, infective, and recovered) model. The stochasticity in the model is introduced by parameter perturbation, which is a standard technique in stochastic population modeling. In the deterministic models, the basic reproduction number R0R0 is a threshold which completely determines the persistence or extinction of the disease. We carry out a detailed analysis on the asymptotic behavior of the stochastic model, also regarding of the value of R0R0. If R0≤1R0≤1, the solution of the model is oscillating around a steady state, which is the disease-free equilibrium of the corresponding deterministic model, whereas, if R0>1R0>1, there is a stationary distribution, which means that the disease will prevail.

Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Engineering Control and Systems Engineering
Authors
, , , ,