Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
7347138 Economic Modelling 2018 9 Pages PDF
Abstract
This paper estimates a quarterly Phillips curve for Switzerland, using interpolated data starting in 1963. Since only annual GDP data are available before 1980, the paper first discusses how to interpolate them using a multivariate Chow-Lin procedure and by adapting forecast combination methods. The preferred interpolated series is then used to estimate the Phillips Curve over a 50-year period. The results indicate two structural breaks which appear to coincide with shifts in the Swiss National Bank's monetary policy strategy.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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