Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
7366441 Journal of International Money and Finance 2013 12 Pages PDF
Abstract
► The paper studies severe simultaneous recessions in six countries. ► The indicator for severe simultaneous recessions is modeled in probit models. ► The lagged yield spread is an important explanatory variable. ► Decreasing yield spreads are leading indicators. ► US and German yield spreads act as leading indicators.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
Authors
,