Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
7393931 World Development 2015 17 Pages PDF
Abstract
Covering three fundamental governance transitions historically characteristic of modern states-the provision of security, the building of capacity, and the deepening of inclusion-we offer a pioneering forecast of the future of domestic governance through the year 2060 for 183 countries utilizing a long-term, dynamic, integrated global futures modeling system. While our Base Case forecast anticipates global gains in security, capacity, and inclusion, extended scenario analysis suggests that timely and effective interventions to strengthen governance and implement pro-poor development policies will result in much greater advances on the Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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