Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
7409279 | Journal of Financial Stability | 2017 | 45 Pages |
Abstract
We study time-varying price leadership between international stock markets using a Markov switching causality model. We demonstrate variations in the causality pattern over time, with the US being the dominant country in causing other markets. We examine the factors which determine a country's role in the causal relationship. For country-specific factors, we show that trades openness increases price leadership. We also find that the lead-lag relationship between the stock markets is weaker during crisis periods, confirming the “wake-up call” hypothesis, with markets and investors focusing substantially more on idiosyncratic, country-specific characteristics during the crisis.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities
Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Economics, Econometrics and Finance (General)
Authors
Charlie X. (Professor of Finance), Asma Mobarek, Qi Zhang,