Growing green? Forecasting CO2 emissions with Environmental Kuznets Curves and Logistic Growth Models

- Although EKC has been widely estimated few applications include forecasting.
- Environmental Logistic Curve (ELC) is proposed to predict CO2 emissions.
- 108 out of 175 countries provide high quality estimations of EKC and ELC.
- Extended EKC tend to outperform the forecasting accuracy of ELC.
- Australia, Germany and Switzerland are expected to achieve their 2020 Kyoto targets.