Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
7485493 | Journal of Transport Geography | 2016 | 12 Pages |
Abstract
This study presents dynamic models to forecast container throughput in the North Adriatic ports of Koper, Trieste, Venice, Ravenna, and Rijeka. Based on the numbers derived, we found a simple but efficient model to forecast the likelihood of increasing or decreasing traffic from year to year. The models are prepared based on available data; they are the Markov-chain annual growth rate model, a time-series trend model, a time-series trend model with periodical terms, and the gray system model. In the second part of the study, we explore a model for analyzing cooperation/competition relationships between these ports using a generalized Lotka-Volterra dynamic system.
Keywords
Related Topics
Life Sciences
Environmental Science
Environmental Science (General)
Authors
Elen Twrdy, Milan Batista,