Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
7496072 | Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology | 2014 | 7 Pages |
Abstract
An exponential distribution fitted to a frequency histogram of the Euclidean distance between consecutive ASF cases had a mean value of 156Â km, a distance greater than the surveillance zone radius of 100-150Â km stated in the ASF control regulations for the Russian Federation. We show that the spatial and temporal risk of ASF expansion is related to the suitability of the area of potential expansion, which is in turn a function of socio-economic and geographic variables. We propose that the methodology presented in this paper provides a useful tool to optimize surveillance for ASF in affected areas.
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Authors
F.I. Korennoy, V.M. Gulenkin, J.B. Malone, C.N. Mores, S.A. Dudnikov, M.A. Stevenson,