Procedure for probabilistic safety assessment of leaks and breaks of piping systems

The estimation of leak and break frequencies in piping systems is part of the probabilistic safety assessment of technical plants. In this paper, a statistical method based on the evaluation of German operational experience for piping systems with different diameters is described because an earlier estimation has been updated and extended introducing new methodical aspects and data. A major point is the inclusion of structural reliability models based on fracture mechanics calculation procedures. As an example of application the statistical estimation method for leak and break frequencies of piping systems with a nominal diameter of 50 mm (the volume control system of a German pressurized water reactor) was updated. Moreover, the evaluation of the operational experience was extended to 341 years with respect to cracks, leaks and breaks in the volume control system of German pressurized water reactors (PWR). Using the actual database, new calculations of leak and break frequencies have been performed and the results have been compared with previous values.