| Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7935675 | Solar Energy | 2018 | 9 Pages |
Abstract
The magnitude of the forecast error of the EMg was found to be comparable with that of the JMA-MSM. The correlations between the forecast error coefficient (Fc) and LNESg in winter season were higher than summer season. In the top 10%, 5% and 1% forecast busts in five winter months, the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) scores of the MCGE in 1- to 6-day ahead forecast indicated statistical significance. The LNESg can therefore be a valuable predictor for detection of forecast busts in the regional forecast.
Keywords
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Physical Sciences and Engineering
Energy
Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
Authors
Fumichika Uno, Hideaki Ohtake, Mio Matsueda, Yoshinori Yamada,