Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
805601 Reliability Engineering & System Safety 2014 24 Pages PDF
Abstract

• Progression of modeling of waste degradation in performance assessments is discussed for the proposed repository at Yucca Mountain.• Progression of evaluating dissolved concentrations of radionuclides in the source-term is discussed.• Radionuclide transport modeling in the waste, container, and invert in 1995 and thereafter is discussed.• Colloid-facilitated transport in the waste, container, and invert in 1998 and thereafter is discussed.

This paper summarizes modeling of waste degradation and mobilization in performance assessments (PAs) conducted between 1984 and 2008 to evaluate feasibility, viability, and assess compliance of a repository for spent nuclear fuel and high-level radioactive waste at Yucca Mountain in southern Nevada. As understanding of the Yucca Mountain disposal system increased, the waste degradation module, or succinctly called the source-term, evolved from initial assumptions in 1984 to results based on process modeling in 2008. In early PAs, waste degradation had significant influence on calculated behavior but as the robustness of the waste container was increased and modeling of the container degradation improved, waste degradation had much less influence in later PAs. The variation of dissolved concentrations of radionuclides progressed from simple probability distributions in early PAs to functions dependent upon water chemistry in later PAs. Also, transport modeling of radionuclides in the waste, container, and invert were added in 1995; and, colloid-facilitated transport of radionuclides was added in 1998.

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