| Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 807083 | Reliability Engineering & System Safety | 2008 | 6 Pages |
Abstract
Several of the papers in this special issue are in one way or another linked to Cooke's “classical” method for combining expert probability distributions. This comment focuses on characteristics of that method. In particular, I consider two questions: does the weighting scheme give the experts a positive incentive to report their beliefs honestly for each variable? How does Cooke's method perform when evaluated out-of-sample?
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering
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Mechanical Engineering
Authors
Robert T. Clemen,