Improved wind forecasts for wind power generation using the Eta model and MOS (Model Output Statistics) method

The new MOS method is applied in two different ways: 1) with one predictor - wind from the Eta model forecast; 2) with two predictors - wind from the Eta model forecast and wind from the recent observations, originally proposed in this study. The average overall results are: Mean Error of 0.27 m/s; Mean Absolute Error of 0.93 m/s; Root Mean Square Error of 1.19 m/s and Coefficient of Determination of 0.79. The results indicate that the Eta model with the proposed MOS method is quite usable as a meteorological driver for wind energy modelling and prediction across any geographical region.