Risk Analyzing on Target Type of Arson Attack

An arson attack brought great social reflection in Xiamen, June 2013. In this arson, 47 people died and 34 injured on a bus. Arson is a unique category of intentional attack that results in grave consequence once occurs. This paper establishes an arson assessment model based on the particular characteristic of arson, using the risk analysis methods. 8803 arson attacks from 2000 to 2011 in Global Terrorism Database are studied. Threat, vulnerability, consequence and risk aiming at different target types are compared, so as to provide technical support against arson for defensive arrangement and macro emergency decision.