Keeping global warming within 1.5 °C reduces future risk of yield loss in the United States: A probabilistic modeling approach

Probability distribution of yield changes given a temperature rise and the benefits of keeping global warming within 1.5 °C for reducing yield loss risk. (a) Conditional probability of yield change for the country as a whole at given temperature rise of 0.5 °C, 1 °C, 1.5 °C and 2 °C. (b) Multi-model ensemble mean difference in yield reduction probability (%) for each corn growing county between the 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming worlds under RCP8.5 scenario.255