Evaluating commercial marine emissions and their role in air quality policy using observations and the CMAQ model

Model simulations for JJA 2018 using the c3 Science scenario show a reduction of surface O3 by as much as ∼13 ppb for areas around the Chesapeake Bay and ∼2-3 ppb at locations in NY and CT downwind of New York City. These reductions are larger in 2018 than in 2011 due to a change in the photochemical O3 production regime in the Long Island Sound region and the projected decline of other (non-c3 Marine) sources of O3 precursors, highlighting the importance of proper representation of c3 Marine emissions in future modeling scenarios.