Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
9491419 Journal of Hydrology 2005 30 Pages PDF
Abstract
The bivariate conditional (on precipitation occurrence at both points) distribution is suitably represented by the meta-Gaussian model. Consequently, the bivariate distribution can be constructed from eight elements: four constants and four univariate functions. The three marginal conditional distributions of each variate obey a dominance law uncovered herein through statistical tests. This law is exploited to establish parametric transformations between the marginal conditional distributions. A potential application is demonstrated in real-time forecasting: Given four elements (two probabilities and two marginal conditional distributions) specified by a probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecast (PQPF), and given five climatic parameters, the bivariate distribution of precipitation amounts can be constructed san arbitrary assumptions. Lastly, comparisons are made between the generic bivariate distribution and the bivariate distributions implied by previously published multivariate models of precipitation fields, revealing approximations and flaws imbedded in these models.
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Earth and Planetary Sciences Earth-Surface Processes
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