Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
961640 Journal of Financial Markets 2011 24 Pages PDF
Abstract
This paper examines the role of carry trade and momentum trading strategies and their implications for the magnitude of the forward premium anomaly. The formal analysis uses a logistic smooth transition regression, with transition variables related to the different currency trading strategies. The hypothesis of uncovered interest parity is found to hold in an upper regime where carry trades appear profitable on the basis of interest differentials and where exchange rate volatility is high.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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