Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
963344 Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money 2015 24 Pages PDF
Abstract
There is limited research carried out to date in the academic literature addressing the issue of the ideal in-sample size when forecasting volatility. This paper therefore considers how much data is required in order to produce accurate forecasts. Broadly speaking, two views exist between practitioners/investors who typically prefer a small in-sample to minimise data holding requirements and researchers/academics who typically chose large in-sample periods. Using a process of expanding window regressions where the in-sample start period expands (backward recursion) we conduct forecasts over twenty-three international markets, including both developed and emerging. Our findings, which demonstrate a degree of homogeneity, show that for the majority of the markets large in-sample periods are not necessary in order to produce the most accurate forecasts supporting the practitioners'/investors' view.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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