Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
964125 Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money 2011 6 Pages PDF
Abstract
Pippenger (2011) recently proposed a solution to the longstanding forward-bias puzzle. He argues that the puzzling estimates obtained using the standard equation for the efficient markets hypothesis are due to omitted variable bias. He identifies the missing variables as the future change in the forward exchange rate and the future interest differential. When these are added to the standard equation, he finds a one-to-one relationship between the future change in the spot rate and the forward premium. However, we argue that his equation can only test covered interest parity and offers no insight into the forward-bias puzzle.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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