Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
964555 | Journal of International Money and Finance | 2015 | 26 Pages |
•We investigate the impact of market movers on European government bond spreads.•We evaluate both pre- and post- announcement effects.•Real economy and forward looking news releases from US and Euro area play a role.•Government bond auctions in distressed countries are relevant.•No role is played by rating actions.
This paper investigates the impact of macroannouncements, government bond auctions and rating actions on the 10-year government bond spreads for Belgium, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain with respect to Germany. Using a unique tick-by-tick dataset over 1/02/2009–05/31/2012, we identify the impact of the three drivers via jump and cojump detection procedures. Disentangling the pre-from the post-announcement effects, real economy and forward looking news releases from US and Euro area, country specific Spanish and German macroannouncements, and auctions hold in distressed countries such Italy and Spain have a statistically and economically significant effect. No role is played by rating actions.