Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
964975 | Journal of the Japanese and International Economies | 2012 | 14 Pages |
Abstract
We forecast average annual GDP growth for 147 countries for 2010–2030. We use a cross-country regression model where the long-run fundamentals are determined by the countries’ accumulated capabilities and the capacity to undergo structural transformation.
► We forecast average annual GDP growth for 147 countries for 2010–2030. ► Long-run fundamentals are determined by the countries’ accumulated capabilities. ► And the capacity to undergo structural transformation. ► They are proxied by measures of export sophistication and potential.
Keywords
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities
Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Economics and Econometrics
Authors
Jesus Felipe, Utsav Kumar, Arnelyn Abdon,