Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
965011 | Journal of the Japanese and International Economies | 2011 | 27 Pages |
Abstract
⺠We study the Japanese industrial production data from 1988 to 2007. ⺠Random matrix theory is valid for extracting dominant factors out of noise. ⺠Combined with Fourier analysis we identify two business cycles of 60 and 40 months. ⺠These findings show that the major cause of business cycles is real demand shocks. ⺠The 2008-2009 economic crisis in Japan is caused by an exogenous negative demand shock.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities
Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Economics and Econometrics
Authors
Hiroshi Iyetomi, Yasuhiro Nakayama, Hiroshi Yoshikawa, Hideaki Aoyama, Yoshi Fujiwara, Yuichi Ikeda, Wataru Souma,