Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
965225 Journal of Macroeconomics 2016 17 Pages PDF
Abstract
China and Switzerland have recently experienced foreign exchange reserve accumulation far in excess of what would be implied by the literature on optimal reserves. Using a dynamic general equilibrium model, we show that the credible expectation of an upper limit to how many reserves a country is willing to accumulate would lead to a balance-of-payments anti-crisis. This is characterized by an accelerated pre-crisis accumulation of foreign exchange reserves, followed by a collapse of the monetary target that is instantaneous under exchange rate targeting and gradual under price level targeting. We argue that Switzerland has recently experienced such an event.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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