Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
967857 Journal of Monetary Economics 2009 12 Pages PDF
Abstract

What are the steady-state implications of inflation in a general-equilibrium model with real per capita output growth and staggered nominal price and wage contracts? Surprisingly, a benchmark calibration implies an optimal inflation rate of -1.9-1.9 percent. The analysis also shows that trend inflation has important effects on the economy when combined with nominal contracts and real output growth. Steady-state output and welfare losses are quantitatively important even for low values of trend inflation. Further, nominal wage contracting is found to be quantitatively more important than nominal price contracting in generating the results. This conclusion does not arise from price dispersion per se  , but from an effect of nominal output growth on the optimal markup of monopolistically competitive labour suppliers. Finally, accounting for productivity growth is found to be important for calculating the welfare costs of inflation. Indeed, the presence of 22 percent productivity growth increases the welfare costs of inflation in the benchmark specification by a factor of four relative to the no-growth case.

Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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