Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
968605 Journal of Policy Modeling 2012 17 Pages PDF
Abstract

In the wake of deregulation of prices of some petroleum products, we estimate the pass-through impact of international oil prices on the Indian economy. In contrast to global trends, we find evidence of higher pass-through to domestic inflation and industrial output, particularly since 2002 when domestic prices started to adjust more frequently to international oil prices. We also simulate to obtain the potential full pass-through impact if prices were completely deregulated and find that such a pricing strategy could result in significant upsurge of inflation with consequential effect on output. On the other hand, staggered adjustments would deteriorate government finances.

Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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