Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
971394 | The Journal of Socio-Economics | 2009 | 15 Pages |
Abstract
We develop a forward-looking empirical concept of social exclusion based on the estimated transition probabilities from a random effects multinominal Logit-model. Youths are considered socially excluded if they are currently outside school/work and have a low predicted probability of re-entering in the near future. Implemented on extraordinary rich event-history data of compulsory school graduates, we estimate social exclusion among Norwegian youths and find that social exclusion propensity is (i) non-cyclical; (ii) much more prevalent among young adults in their early twenties than among teenagers; (iii) strongly dependent on family background; and (iv) independent of gender.
Related Topics
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Authors
Oddbjørn Raaum, Jon Rogstad, Knut Røed, Lars Westlie,