Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
973394 The North American Journal of Economics and Finance 2013 16 Pages PDF
Abstract

This paper develops a theoretical model to identify various risks in the Chinese property insurance market. Consequently, we apply a structural VAR model to quantify the magnitude, historical timing of these risks, and their dynamic impacts on the permanent and transitory components of the insurance premiums. The results indicate that the enormous amount of speculative funds flowing into China has aggravated insurance premiums as well as helped accelerate market volatilities due to its uncertain nature to the domestic economy and its short-term characteristic of investing. In particular, the speculative shock is shown to be the primary factor responsible for the transitory fluctuation of insurance premiums while the supply shock explains the preponderance of insurance premiums’ permanent growth in recent years.

Keywords
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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