Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
973833 Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 2015 10 Pages PDF
Abstract

•Shares prices of companies traded on different world stock exchanges were investigated.•Copula functions were used to model the risk of an investment in shares.•The Hurst exponent was calculated using the local Detrended Fluctuation Analysis.•The Hurst exponent became the useful tool in a safe investment determination procedure.

In this paper the two dimensional model of the investment in shares is presented. The shares prices from five different world stock exchanges (New York, London, Frankfurt, Honk Kong, and Sydney) are examined. The copula functions are used to model the risk of investment. The Hurst threshold exponent derived from the local Detrended Fluctuation Analysis is used to determine the safe investment portfolios with no extreme drops in shares prices. The most important result states that the threshold value is not universal for different markets, however, it is influenced by the subsequent level of market freedom. It was shown, that the level, relatively larger in US, UK, and Australia than in Germany and China, affects the Hurst exponent threshold value.

Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Mathematics Mathematical Physics
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