Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
982172 The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 2015 14 Pages PDF
Abstract

•We derive new results from a generalized version of De Long et al.'s pioneering model.•Rational speculation can be stabilizing, e.g., in response to signals which arrive “early”.•Any sort of short-term price response to a signal is possible, e.g., momentum or mean reversion.•There is little scope for interpreting price movements are bubbles.

This paper generalizes De Long et al.'s (1990a) seminal model of destabilizing rational speculation in the presence of positive feedback trading by incorporating additional trading dates and an additional informative signal. Rational speculation can be stabilizing in the generalized model. The model is compatible with observed patterns of asset prices, such as short-term momentum and mean reversion. There is little scope for interpreting the equilibrium asset price as deviating from fundamental value.

Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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