Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
986666 Review of Economic Dynamics 2014 30 Pages PDF
Abstract

Periods of economic boom with rapid credit and GDP growth can be followed by sudden busts. In the presence of financial market imperfections, a simple modification of a neoclassical growth model can fully account for this behavior. I study a growth model for a small open economy where decreasing marginal returns to capital appear after the country has reached a threshold level of development, which is uncertain. Limited enforceability of contracts allows borrowers to default on their debt. Lenders optimally choose to suddenly restrict the supply of credit when the threshold is reached and decreasing marginal returns appear. Borrowers default, and a boom–bust cycle is generated.

Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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