Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
1006941 Annals of Tourism Research 2016 4 Pages PDF
Abstract

•Introduce usefulness of density forecasts for visitor arrival in risk management.•Test the appropriateness of model assumption with histogram-based method.•Apply the framework to ARDL model for Hong Kong inbound tourism demand.•Error in ARDL model for the demand growth rates of China exhibit fat tail.•Normality assumption for the growth rates model from Macau is appropriate.

Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Business, Management and Accounting Tourism, Leisure and Hospitality Management
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