Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
1016453 | Futures | 2006 | 14 Pages |
Abstract
We discuss the changes occurring in the field of organizational foresight. The analysis results from viewing foresight from two different perspectives: as centered on the future or on the present; as macroscopic analysis or microscopic practice. The combination of these factors results in four different modes of organizational foresight: strategic planning, visioning, scenario thinking and planned emergence. These different perspectives are examined. We contribute to the literature by presenting foresight as a complex process, amenable to different understandings. Foresight is often portrayed as a technical and analytic process. We discuss it as a human process permeated by a dialectic between the need to know and the fear of knowing.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities
Business, Management and Accounting
Business and International Management
Authors
Miguel Pina e Cunha, Patrícia Palma, Nuno Guimarães da Costa,