Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
1016511 IIMB Management Review 2016 7 Pages PDF
Abstract

Gold prices in the Indian market may be influenced by a multitude of factors such as the value of gold in investment decisions, as an inflation hedge, and in consumption motives. We develop a model to explain and forecast gold prices in India, using a vector error correction model. We identify investment decision and inflation hedge as prime movers of the data. We also present out-of-sample forecasts of our model and the related properties.

Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Business, Management and Accounting Business and International Management
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