Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
1270347 International Journal of Hydrogen Energy 2014 12 Pages PDF
Abstract

•Biosphere and its ‘human' subsystem are self-organizing, synergetic systems.•In the way of the biosphere attractor there can occur bifurcation periods.•Synergetics shows that in near future two virtual attractors will compete.•Irreversible catastrophe and total self-destruction of the humanity.•The humanity motion from hydrogen economy to hydrogen civilization.

The social synergetic analysis of the biosphere and humanity shows that in near future two attractors (human paths) will really compete: the first is an irreversible biosphere catastrophe and the second is a motion along the vector ‘Hydrogen energy → Hydrogen economy → Hydrogen civilization’. In accordance with the basic assumption of the social synergetics about a fundamental possibility of the mankind conscious choice of its own post-bifurcation path to the future, the analysis based on Kondratieff's study about large cycles of the economic development leads to the fundamental conclusion: two historical stages of Hydrogen Civilization will correspond to Kondratieff's sixth (∼2030–2090) and seventh (∼2090–2150) hydrogen energy technological cycles with a probability up to 100%.

Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Chemistry Electrochemistry
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