Recovery-oriented perceptions as predictors of reincarceration

The present prospective study explored whether a specific class of client subjective assessments predicts later recovery. Measures of client perceptions of self-change in substance abusers were obtained a year after release from a prison-based therapeutic community. Analyses assessed the contribution of these perceptions—along with motivation, age, and risk index of social deviancy—in predicting reincarceration at 3-year follow-up.Results showed that two factors (Individual Growth and Socialization) significantly differentiated reincarceration and nonreincarceration at 1-year postrelease and significantly predicted reincarceration at 3-year follow-up. Findings underscore the relevance of perceptions of self-change early in recovery to later recovery behaviors. Research on recovery factors needs a uniform assessment protocol, which organizes client perceptions, beliefs, and attributions in accordance with a recovery stage framework.