Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
478142 European Journal of Operational Research 2014 11 Pages PDF
Abstract

•We illustrate that parametric Bayesian updates based on observed sales data can be used effectively for demand learning.•We demonstrate that product assortment and prices need to be dynamically revised with demand learning.•We show it is profitable for retailers to give price reduction early in the sales season to accelerate demand learning.•We demonstrate that a retailer’s profitability can be improved by balancing exploration and exploitation of the market.

Retailers, from fashion stores to grocery stores, have to decide what range of products to offer, i.e., their product assortment. Frequent introduction of new products, a recent business trend, makes predicting demand more difficult, which in turn complicates assortment planning. We propose and study a stochastic dynamic programming model for simultaneously making assortment and pricing decisions which incorporates demand learning using Bayesian updates. We show analytically that it is profitable for the retailer to use price reductions early in the sales season to accelerate demand learning. A computational study demonstrates the benefits of such a policy and provides managerial insights that may help improve a retailer’s profitability.

Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Computer Science Computer Science (General)
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