Dispatch planning using newsvendor dual problems and occupation times: Application to hydropower

We consider price-driven dispatch planning under price uncertainty: A storable commodity is optimally sold and purchased over time. First, we consider models where the storage level is constrained in expectation. The dual of the corresponding optimization problem is related to the newsvendor problem. Exact solutions of bang-bang type are given. The second methodology is for high-frequency dispatch decisions in multistage stochastic programming models: To overcome the curse of dimensionality, prices are modeled by occupation times at price levels. In a case study, we consider a pumped-storage hydropower plant: Numerical solutions are given, which have similar patterns as for the first, exactly solvable problems.

► Analytical optimal solutions for single- and multiperiod dispatch models. ► Mean-risk optimization of high-frequency decisions over a long-term horizon. ► Principal component analysis of the occupation times of the electricity price process.