Mental Benchmarks and Opinion Dynamics for Modeling Potentially Critical Situations on a Regional Level

This paper describes an approach for modeling of potentially critical situations in the society. The potentially critical situations arising from non-compliance concepts and norms accepted in the society and the real trends of the territory are considered. Such situations appear in the absence of attention to society mental state in the management of activity of the region and regional development strategies. The initial data are Internet social networking, news feeds, and official statistics. The use of proposed method is shown by the example of analysis of the situation in education, crime, and migration in St. Petersburg.