Outline of principles for building scenarios - Transition toward more sustainable energy systems

Primary criteria are based on the first and second law of thermodynamics. They can be used to simulate the development of energy transformation technologies. The result implies that engineers must consider the system level when they develop energy technology. The secondary criteria, which are mainly based on subjective-values, should be used for evaluating different roadmaps obtained from these simulations. It is important that the evaluations of scenarios are carried out in broad dialogue processes with key actors in order to make the roadmaps easy to implement and follow up in practice.